NCAA Thursday

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are less than average middle of the pack Sun Belt East team, but this team ATS playing the road under dog role has been money. Matter of fact they lead Sun Belt East in ATC with 57.1% which is good, but ATS measurement is much better for Sun Belt West under achiever Denver 60.9%. Denver Pioneers have excellent winning home record 9-1 SU & ATS, 8-0 as favorites (7-1 ATS), 7-0 as home favorites (7-0 ATS) Pioneers at home are undeniable cash cow and consensus s showing just that. But as I look over this game Pioneers have had quite of bit of cream puff games at home and it does look like missing point leader David Kummer’s numbers are starting to reflect the scoreboard. Blue Raiders took care of the Pioneers by 18 points in no line game Jan. 5th at Murphy Athletic Center and Denver is not much of a revenge team. Blue Raiders coming of 2 ATS wins against top Sun Belt East teams and I expect them to hand Denver their rare ATS home loss if not win outright going away. Denver 11-14 SU. Without their leading scorer even with their great home record should not be more than a PICK. Watching this line to see if there is a push to +3 or more.

Blue Raiders +3.5 at +100 for 1 unit
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oregon Ducks are coming to Galen Center and USC took the last game in Eugene Jan.26th in OT, but Ducks have had Trojan’s number taking 3 out of last 4. matches. Trojans have lost Hackett with lower back stress fracture and are coming into this game with 2 consecutive losses. Ducks are starting to show unity and balanced attacks getting their offense to pump in 78 per contest. With all this said I like the Trojans at home especially after a good beating from the CBB crowned king of Los Angeles, UCLA. Not to forget Washington Cougars awakening at home to crush USC and their underclassmen by 24 points, all good lessons for the young Trojans. This will be a challenge USC will play with energy and focus in front of their home crowd.

USC -4.5 at +105 for 1 unit

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Presidents Day NCAA Basketball