Gamblers

Seton Hall Pirates are a middle of the pack team like many other do not fair well on the road, 5-7, 3-7 lined games and 3-10 as small dogs. It's somewhat understandable So. Florida line moving from opening -3.5 this team is rolling 4-1 ATS last 5 with Pirates going the other way 1-4 ATS last 5. Top it off this is a road loss revenge match 1/17 Pirates at home 74-64 win & cover. So why not back the South Florida Bulls -4 when they were only getting +4 in their first match up away? Because the Bulls have no game when it comes to conference play at 2-12 and they do not fair well on revenge match at all. What I see is a Bulls team that peaked 2/13 and though they've covered the following 2 games they have been on decline. Looking back the last 5 games they got monster 18 points cover at G-Town, no cover loss to De Paul -6.5, then the peak game shooting 57% home dog SU win, Connecticut heart breaker shooting 43% and Cincinnati heart breaker shooting 40%. Bulls 3-12 after a SU lo...

Today we back San Diego. Yes, SD covered with +11 points, but I put this post on the back burner and kind of lost track of time. I was planning to come back with some follow up writing sorry for those who were waiting. At least I pointed at the correct direction and hope you guys cashed.

Wisconsin at Ohio State is shaping to be a very popular game to stake a wager. Why would you not like the Badgers at this spot? 22-4 SU tough as nails on the road 8-2 they are the elites of Big 10. But when you are playing the spread it reflects a different set of numbers 11-11 ATS, that's 50% winners, and when your backing a team with real dollars, euros, pounds or yen 50% is no edge at all. They do have 7-3 ATS road record offset by 6-8 ATS conference play and 7-11 ATS after a SU win. How about the Buckeyes? they too are 11-11 ATS and their 12-2 SU home record is only 4-6 ATS yet man to man I don't see Buckeyes inferior to this Badgers squad. Ohio State coming off a double digit loss with their worst shooting performance this season creating a strong bounce back spot for Buckeyes to buckle down and defend their turf. Opening line of Ohio St. -1 has moved PK as of this writing. After looking over this interesting match up with value to the Buckeyes I don't have the...

Coiming off a pair of winners and looking for more. The thought of SU record vs. ATS record as indicators brings attention to a simple misperception theory. Case study is Ole Miss at LSU. Ole Miss Rebels 18-7 shares the top spot along side Arkansas and they will look to ride the momentum coming off a strong win over Mississippi St. Now LSU is on the other side of the moon 9-16 and ATS is a dismal 6-14. So Rebels should roll or should they? Looking at Rebels ATS their wins are not so impressive 8-12. They’re tough at home and soft away at 4-5, recent games other than Mississippi St. Rebels have dropped four, they’re 1-4 last 5. Top it off this is a LSU revenge match in a closely contested game which the Tigers took ATS. Look for Tigers to hang tough. LSU +3 at +100

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are less than average middle of the pack Sun Belt East team, but this team ATS playing the road under dog role has been money. Matter of fact they lead Sun Belt East in ATC with 57.1% which is good, but ATS measurement is much better for Sun Belt West under achiever Denver 60.9%. Denver Pioneers have excellent winning home record 9-1 SU & ATS, 8-0 as favorites (7-1 ATS), 7-0 as home favorites (7-0 ATS) Pioneers at home are undeniable cash cow and consensus s showing just that. But as I look over this game Pioneers have had quite of bit of cream puff games at home and it does look like missing point leader David Kummer’s numbers are starting to reflect the scoreboard. Blue Raiders took care of the Pioneers by 18 points in no line game Jan. 5th at Murphy Athletic Center and Denver is not much of a revenge team. Blue Raiders coming of 2 ATS wins against top Sun Belt East teams and I expect them to hand Denver their rare ATS home loss if not wi...

Coming off a published win on Saturday. Tonight we back Gonzaga on the road facing a tough court in San Diego. One of those spots we like to cheer the home underdog, but rarely back the road favorite. This situation the line has been narrowing from a good -8 Zags to -6.5 which now brings value to the road favorite. Take the Bulldogs to clean up in San Diego as there was no error to the opening odds. GONZAGA -6.5(L)

Washington St. at Oregon is a game that looks like a "sharp" home play, but I just can't help leaning toward Washington St. This selection may seem vague in nature and picks are coming on bumpy NBA run. But Washington State should be a slight road favorite in this spot. Washington State +1.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Backing Saint Mary's playing hell of a ball and I expect them to continue on the road. The revenge situation has been considered and in most case involving such lopsided loss should bring out the best in avenging home team. The line has been moving toward the home team in late hours, but this line is suspect. St. Mary -5 at +103 for 1 unit

Backing Northeastern at home against Old Dominion. NORTHEASTERN -1 at -103(W)

Huge card today and we will be looking for the diamonds among the fake stones. Stanford at Washington State Stanford is tough in the post with the twin tower, but Washington have not been playing their brand of basketball. Look for this game to turn quickly into Washington ball. WASHINGTON STATE -4 at -108(L) Cal Poly SLO vs UC Riverside Cal Poly SLO -2.5 at -105(L) Arizona State at USC Backing the Trojans with the line reeling. USC -6.5 at -103(W)