Going against the grain with early morning FIBA. Greece vs France 1st Quarter Under 35.5 +101 for 1 unit(W) One down two to go. Germany vs USA 1st Half Under 92.5 -101 for 1 unit(W) Germany vs USA Under 185 -109 for 1 unit(W) Game total drops to 184.5 and 1st Half total price jumps Over which is books adjusting 1st Half Over/Game Under to sustain balance. If you follow the money move rising do not be lured take the plus money. Increasing wager: Germany vs USA 1st Half Under 92.5 +105 for 1 unit(W) Viva FIBA ! Good morning, hello and good night
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Showing posts from August, 2006
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Sunday early morning FIBA. France and Angola. If France was not aware of what's coming against them the -5.5 ATS might loom large, but I think they've seen enough Angola. The French men will take this team serious and with size advantage they will look for strong defense to halt the speedy Angolans. But even with this scheme in mind the Total is low. Angolans can hit from the perimeter and run against top contenders. Scoring to reach into the 70's for both teams. Over 143 at -115 for 2 units(L) Angola could not buy a basket in the 1st quarter and it was all too little too late.
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Saturday morning 01:00 PST. These games are not helping my sleep, but does wonders for my bank and I need it with all the bad baseball games. SLO in the early morning to take Turkey. I was looking at the Total 153 moving down to 152, it bounced around a bit before Pinny took it lower. This number initially looked like Under dictated by Turkey's defense, but I think Slovenia will have the energy and tempo taking the Total Over. Books are thinking in similar lines. I'll watch that to see if the price moves Under at 152 or if the Sharps will come in Over near the close. It has bounced towards Over. Better reversed this Side play and get off it on 2nd half. Turkey momentum is surging and Slovenia shots are not falling. SLO +109 for 5 units(L) SLO/TUR OVER 152 at Even for 8 units(W) TUR 2nd Half -2 for -109 for 5 units(W) 2-1 +8.00 units
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FIBA Wednesday. The game that stands out for me is Serbia & Montenegro vs Argentina. There are foreseeable scoring options on both sides to exceed 158.5 total. Should see S&M in the 80+ points and Argentina 90+ points. 41-40 Half Time. Good game. S&M/ARG OVER 158.5 at -105 for 2 units(W) ------------------------------------------------------------ Angola vs Germany. Angola getting +6 looks too many. Angola is playing good ball while Germany does not look smooth. 30-33 Half time Germany, but Angola made the push closing the gap. Striking range. ANG +6 at -105 for 2 units(W)
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Back for more FIBA Fever. Today the match up with New Zealand and Japan. What gives NZ the edge here is the insertion of Mark Dickel 6'2" point guard who is a spark plug to stop the slide. Japan coming off win against Panama can be pesky and home crowd will be rockin', but take New Zealand SU on this fight. NZL -156 for 1 unit(W) ----------------------------------------------------- How are USA? They look like they have some killer instinct this year. USA to make a statement against the 3-0 Italy. Italy got the wild card to be here they did not qualify. Yes, they are showing guts, but they were trailing Senegal by 11 in late 3rd. USA -19.5 at -101 for 1 unit(L)
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FIBA Championship. Today the game is PR vs China. Like this game to fall below the Total. PR/CHN UNDER 167.5 for 2 units(L) PR/CHIN Game to go to OverTime +700 for 1 unit(W) --------------------------------------------------------------- With support and inspiration I will back USA against the not to be under estimated underdog Slovenia. SLO is capable of running up the score as they showed against Senegal (96-79). Against Italy, Slovenia came out aggressive had good tempo than they let off and Italy took advantage. Definite mistake the team admits. Not sure if SLO wants to run and gun with U.S., but they will be aggressive to score. U.S. is coming together this group playing team ball can and will score 110+. I also think in this world game format, in the interest of world wide basketball growth, U.S. is intent on playing offense ball which is what the world audience wants and allowing opponents to score 90+ points when U.S. is on their way to 110+ does not seem to pose any problems. ...
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Lets play off season Basketball on FIBA World Championship games in Japan. Have a good one set to start 00:30 PST. Slovenia vs Senegal Backing Slovenia to win big. Primoz Brezec will dominate the middle with back up Radoslav Nesterovic Makris from San Antonio Spurs, Forward BostjanNACHBAR from New Jersey Nets and point guard BenoUDRIH also from San Antonio Spurs. NBA has quite of bit of Euro flavor these days, but Senegal has not produced any. SLOVENIA -22.5 at -110 for 3 units(L) Wow, all the Favs did not cover the big spread. Slovenia had the best chance, but they too fail.